Modelos de produtividade agrícola aplicados à agricultura de sequeiro: Limitações e vantagens para avaliação de colapso de safras

Autores

  • Minella Alves Martins Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais-INPE
  • Regina Célia dos Santos Alvalá Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alerta de Desastres Naturais-CEMADEN
  • Javier Tomasella Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alerta de Desastres Naturais-CEMADEN

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.30969/acsa.v10i4.461

Palavras-chave:

seca, monitoramento agrícola, ferramentas para agricultura

Resumo

As recorrentes secas que assolam várias regiões do mundo colocam a agricultura de sequeiro em xeque. Diante da preocupação em produzir frente às intempéries e da dúvida sobre a capacidade da agricultura em alimentar uma população com rápido crescimento, esforços são direcionados para desenvolver ferramentas que auxilie na prevenção de perdas, planejamento e monitoramento da atividade agrícola. Tendo em vista a importância dos modelos agrometeorológicos para subsidiar o planejamento e monitoramento de cultivos agrícolas, o objetivo deste trabalho foi revisar alguns dos principais modelos utilizados no mundo, suas principais aplicações,  bem como as vantagens e limitações do uso destes no que tange, principalmente à agricultura de sequeiro vista como principal alvo das secas no contexto de desastres naturais. 

Biografia do Autor

  • Minella Alves Martins, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais-INPE

    Graduada em Engenharia Agrícola pela Universidade Federal de Lavras-Lavras-MG. Mestre em Meteorologia pelo Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais-INPE-São José dos Campos-sp. Doutorando em Ciência do Sistema Terrestre no Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas EspaciaiS-INPE-Cachoeira Paulista-Sp.

    Tem experiência em pesquisas nas áreas de Irrigação, Manejo da irrigação, modelos agrometeorológicos, balanço hídrico e culturas de sequeiro no semiárido brasileiro.

Referências

<p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">AGGARWAL, P.K.; KALRA, N.; CHANDER, S.; PATHAK, H. InfoCrop: A dynamic simulation model for the assessment of crop yields, losses due to pests, and environmental impact of agro-ecosystems in tropical environments. </span><span style="font-size: 12pt;">I. Model description. <strong>Agricultural Systems</strong>, Netherlands, v.89, p.1-25, 2006.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">ABRHA, B.; DELBECQUE, N.; RAES, D.; TSEGAY, A.; TODOROVIC, M.; HENG, L.; VANUTRECHT, L.; GEERTS, S.;GARCIA-VILA, M.; DECKERS, S. Sowing strategies for barley (hordeum vulgare l.) </span><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">Based on modelled yield response to water with AquaCrop. <strong>Experimental Agriculture</strong> , 252-271. </span><span style="font-size: 12pt;">2012.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">ANJOS, F.A. <strong>Simula&ccedil;&atilde;o de produtividade de milho em diferentes &eacute;pocas de semeio em Arapiraca, Alagoas, pelo modelo AquaCrop</strong>. Disserta&ccedil;&atilde;o (Mestrado em Agronomia). Universidade Federal de Alagoas. 2011.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">ASSAD, E. D.; MARIN, F. R., EVANGELISTA, S.R.; PILAU, F. G.; FARIAS, J. R. B.; PINTO, H. S.; ZULLO J&Uacute;NIOR, J. Sistema de previs&atilde;o da safra de soja para o Brasil<strong>. </strong></span><strong><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">Pesquisa Agropecu&aacute;ria Brasileira, </span></strong><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">v.42, n.5, p.615-625, 2007.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">BAIER, W. Crop-Weather Analysis Model: Review and Model Development. <strong>J. Appl. Meteor., </strong>v.12, p. 937&ndash;947. 1973.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">BOOGAARD, H.L.; DE WIT, A.J.W.; ROLLER, J.A.; VAN DIEPEN, C.A. <strong>User&rsquo;s guide for the WOFOST Control Center 1.8 and WOFOST 7.1.3 crop growth simulation model</strong>. Alterra, Wageningen University &amp; Research Centre, Wageningen, 2011.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">BOOTE, K.J.; JONES, J.W.; PICKERING, N.B. Potential uses and limitations of crop models. <strong>Agronomy Journal</strong>, Madison, v.88, p. 704-716, 1996. </span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">CARDOSO, A. de O.; PINTO, H.S.; &Aacute;VILA, A.M.H. de ; SILVA DIAS, P. L. da; MARIN, F.R.; PILAU,F. Extended time weather forecasts contributes to agricultural productivity estimates. <strong>Theor Appl Climatol</strong> , 343&ndash;350. 2010</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;" lang="EN-US">CASTRIGNANO, A., KATERJI, N., KARAM, F.; MASTRORILLI, M. HAMDY, A. A modified version of CERES-Maize model for predicting crop response to salinity stress. <strong>Ecological Modelling</strong> 111 -107&ndash;120. 1998. </span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">CHALLINOR, A.J. et al. Design and optimisation of a large-scale process-based model for annual crops. </span><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Amsterdam. <strong>Agricultural and Forest Meteorology</strong>, v. 124, p.99-192. 2004.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento (CONAB): <strong>Acompanhamento de Safra Brasileira</strong>: G&atilde;os, d&eacute;cimo levantamento. Julho/2012.&nbsp; Bras&iacute;lia : CONAB, 2012.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt; border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0cm; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">CORR&Ecirc;A, S.T.</span><span><span style="font-size: 12pt; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">&nbsp;</span></span><span style="font-size: 12pt; border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0cm; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">R.</span><span style="font-size: 12pt; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">; DOURADO-NETO,D ; LORENCONI, R. ; SCARPARE, F.V.; </span><a href="http://lattes.cnpq.br/8747145050594205" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: black; border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0cm; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">VIVIAN, R.</span></a><span style="font-size: 12pt; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">; RUIZ, E.T. . Aplica&ccedil;&otilde;es e limita&ccedil;&otilde;es da modelagem em agricultura - Revis&atilde;o. <strong>Revista de Agricultura. </strong></span><span style="font-size: 12pt; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;" lang="EN-US">Piracicaba, v. 86, p. 1-13, 2011.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">DOORENBOS, J.; KASSAM, A. H.; BENTVELSEN, C. L. M.; BRANSCHEID, V.; PLUSJ&Eacute;, J.M.G.A.; SMITH, M.; UITTENBOGAARD, G.O.; VAN DER WAL, H. K. <strong>Yield response to water</strong>. </span><span style="font-size: 12pt;">(Irrigation and Drainage Paper, 33) Rome: FAO, 193p. 1979.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">DOORENBOS, J.; PRUITT, W.O. <strong>Las necesidades de &aacute;gua de los cultivos</strong>. </span><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">(Estudio FAO Riego y Drenaje, 24).Roma: FAO,193 p. 1977.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">Food and Agriculture Organization of the&nbsp; United Nations (FAO). Climate change, water and food security.&nbsp; </span><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Rome, 2011.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">FREITAS, D.M. Garantia Safra: um seguro para o Nordeste e para o Semi&aacute;rido Brasileiro. <span style="background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">Apresenta&ccedil;&atilde;o da III Reuni&atilde;o T&eacute;cnica do CEMADEN. Fortaleza. 2012. Dispon&iacute;vel em <span>&nbsp;</span>http://www.cemaden.gov.br/apresentacoeslllrtdocemaden.php. Acesso em 01/04/2013.</span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US;" lang="EN-US">GARC&Iacute;A-VILA, R. e&nbsp; FERERES, E. Combining the simulation crop model AquaCrop with an economic model for the optimization of irrigation management at farm level. <strong>European Journal of Agronomy</strong> , 21&ndash; 31.2012.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left">&nbsp;</p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><a href="http://www.bdpa.cnptia.embrapa.br/busca?b=ad&amp;biblioteca=vazio&amp;busca=autoria:%22GEDANKEN,%20A.%22"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; color: black; mso-themecolor: text1;"><br /> GEDANKEN, A.</span></a><span style="font-size: 12pt;">;&nbsp;</span><a href="http://www.bdpa.cnptia.embrapa.br/busca?b=ad&amp;biblioteca=vazio&amp;busca=autoria:%22MANTOVANI,%20E.%20C.%22"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; color: black; mso-themecolor: text1;">MANTOVANI, E. C.</span></a><span style="font-size: 12pt;">;&nbsp;</span><a href="http://www.bdpa.cnptia.embrapa.br/busca?b=ad&amp;biblioteca=vazio&amp;busca=autoria:%22MANTOVANI,%20B.%20H.%20M.%22"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; color: black; mso-themecolor: text1;">MANTOVANI, B. H. M.</span></a><span style="font-size: 12pt;">;&nbsp;</span><a href="http://www.bdpa.cnptia.embrapa.br/busca?b=ad&amp;biblioteca=vazio&amp;busca=autoria:%22COSTA,%20L.%20C.%22"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; color: black; mso-themecolor: text1;">COSTA, L. C.</span></a><span style="font-size: 12pt;">;&nbsp;</span><a href="http://www.bdpa.cnptia.embrapa.br/busca?b=ad&amp;biblioteca=vazio&amp;busca=autoria:%22SANS,%20L.%20M.%20A.%22"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; color: black; mso-themecolor: text1;">SANS, L. M. A.</span></a><span style="font-size: 12pt;">;&nbsp;</span><a href="http://www.bdpa.cnptia.embrapa.br/busca?b=ad&amp;biblioteca=vazio&amp;busca=autoria:%22FREITAS,%20P.%20S.%20L.%20de%22"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; color: black; mso-themecolor: text1;">FREITAS, P. S. L. de</span></a><span style="font-size: 12pt;">.&nbsp;</span><a href="http://www.bdpa.cnptia.embrapa.br/busca?b=ad&amp;id=489100&amp;biblioteca=vazio&amp;busca=autoria:%22GEDANKEN,%20A.%22&amp;qFacets=autoria:%22GEDANKEN,%20A.%22&amp;sort=&amp;paginacao=t&amp;paginaAtual=1"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; color: black; mso-themecolor: text1;">Utiliza&ccedil;&atilde;o do modelo Ceres-Maize na avalia&ccedil;&atilde;o de estrat&eacute;gias de irriga&ccedil;&atilde;o na cultura do milho em duas regi&otilde;es do Estado de Minas Gerais.</span></a><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span><strong><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">Acta Scientiarum Agronomy</span></strong><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">, Maring&aacute;, v. 25, n. 2, p. 439-447, 2003.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">GEERTS, S. et al. Simulating Yield Response of Quinoa to Water Availability with AquaCrop<strong>. Agronomy Journal</strong>. Volume 101, Issue 3. 2009</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">HANSEN, J.W.; INDEJE, M. Linking dynamic seasonal climate forecasts with crop simulation for maize yield prediction in semi-arid Kenya. <strong>Agricultural and Forest Meteorology </strong>125 (2004) 143&ndash;157 .2004.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">HANSEN, S., JENSEN, H.E., NIELSEN, N.E. AND SVENDSEN, H. DAISY.&nbsp; Soil Plant Atmosphere System Model. NPO Report No. A 10. <strong>The National Agency for Environmental Protection</strong><em>, </em>Copenhagen. 1990.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;" lang="EN-US">HOOGENBOOM, G. Contribution of agrometeorology to the simulation of crop prodution and its applications. <strong>Agricultural and Forest Meteorology</strong>, v. 103. p 137-157. 2000.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">HOOGENBOOM, G., JONES, P.W. WILKENS, C.H.; PORTER, K.J.; BOOTE, L.A.; HUNT, U.; SINGH, J.L.; LIZASO, J.W.; WHITE, O.; URYASEV, F.S.; ROYCE, R.; OGOSHI, A.J. GIJSMAN, G.Y.; TSUJI,&nbsp; KOO, J. Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) Version 4.5. University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii. 2012.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US;" lang="EN-US">HSIAO, T.S.; HENG, L.; STEDUTO, P.; ROJAS-LARA, B.;RAES, D.;FERERES, E. The FAO Crop Model to Simulate Yield Response to Water: III. Parameterization and Testing for Maize. <strong>Agronomy Journal</strong> , 448-459. 2009.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE - IPCC. <strong>Climate Change: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability</strong>. Contribution of Working Group II tothe Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, M. L. Parry, O. F. Canziani, J. P. Palutikof, P. J. van der Linden and C. E. Hanson, Eds., CambridgeUniversity Press, Cambridge, UK, 976 pp. 2007.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">JAME, Y.W.;CUTFORTH,H.W. Crop Growth models for decision support systems. <strong>Canadian Journal of Plant Science</strong>. v.76.p.9-19,1996.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">JENSEN, M.E.Water comsuption by agricultural plants. <strong>Academic Press INC</strong>. New York. 1968.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">JONES, P.N.;KINIRY,J.R. <strong>Ceres-Maize: </strong>a simulation modelo of maize growth and development. College Sration: Texas e M. University Press, 194p. 1986.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;" lang="EN-US">LEMOS, M.C.; MOREHOUSE, B.J. The co-production of science and policy in integrated climate assessments. </span><strong><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;">Global Environmental Change</span></strong><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;"> 15 - 57&ndash;68. 2005.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">LIMA, M. G. de.&nbsp;<strong>Calibra&ccedil;&atilde;o e valida&ccedil;&atilde;o do modelo CERES-Maize em condi&ccedil;&otilde;es tropicais do Brasil</strong>. Tese (Doutorado em Agronomia) Escola Superior de Agricultura de Luiz de Queiroz, Piracicaba, 1995.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">MARENGO, J. Vulnerabilidade, impactos e adapta&ccedil;&atilde;o &agrave; mudan&ccedil;a do clima no semi-&aacute;rido do Brasil. <strong>Parcerias estrat&eacute;gicas</strong>.2008</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">MKHABELA, M.S; BULLOCK, P.R.&nbsp; Performance of the FAO AquaCrop model for wheat grain yield and soil moisture simulation in Western Canada. </span><strong><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Agricultural Water Management</span></strong><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> 110.16&ndash; 24. 2012.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">MEDEIROS et al. Folheto Informativo n&ordm; 1-2013. <strong>Estiagem e Seca no Semi&aacute;rido Brasileiro</strong>. </span><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US;" lang="EN-US">2013.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">MONTEIRO, L.A. Modelagem agrometeorol&oacute;gica como base para a defini&ccedil;&atilde;o de ambientes de produ&ccedil;&atilde;o para a cultura da cana-de-a&ccedil;&uacute;car no Estado de S&atilde;o Paulo. Disserta&ccedil;&atilde;o de Mestrado. Escola Superior de Agricultura "Luiz de Queir&oacute;z". </span><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">2012.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">MORRISON, C. Seca, o semi-&aacute;rido, e o pequeno agricultor em Canind&eacute;, Cear&aacute;. In: R. ADDEI, R.; GAMBOGGI, A.&nbsp; <strong>Depois que a chuva n&atilde;o veio</strong><em> &ndash; </em>Respostas sociais &agrave;s secas na Amaz&ocirc;nia, no Nordeste, e no Sul do Brasil. 137-176. Rio de Janeiro: Funda&ccedil;&atilde;o Cearense de Meteorologia e Recursos H&iacute;dricos, Instituto Comitas para Estudos Antropol&oacute;gicos. </span><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US;" lang="EN-US">2010.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">MURTHY, V. R. K. Crop growth modeling and its applications in agricultural meteorology. <em>In</em>: SIVAKUMAR, M. V. K.; ROY, P. S.; HARMSEN, K. AND SAHA, S. K (Eds.). </span><strong><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Satellite remote sensing and GIS applications in agricultural meteorology</span></strong><span style="font-size: 12pt;">. 2004.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">NOBRE, P. O Estado da Arte em Previs&otilde;es Clim&aacute;ticas para o NE do Brasil. Apresenta&ccedil;&atilde;o da III Reuni&atilde;o T&eacute;cnica do CEMADEN. Fortaleza. 2012. Dispon&iacute;vel em &nbsp;http://www.cemaden.gov.br/apresentacoeslllrtdocemaden.php. Acesso em 01/04/2013.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US;" lang="EN-US">Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development<span>&nbsp;</span>(OECD).&nbsp; Agricultural Policy Monitoring and Evaluation: OECD Countries and Emerging Economies, OECD Publishing. </span><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">2011. Dispon&iacute;vel em:&lt; http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr_pol-2011-en&gt; Acesso em 01/04/2013.<strong></strong></span></p> <h2 style="margin-top: 0cm; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; font-weight: normal;">&nbsp;</span></h2> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">RAES, D. et al. AquaCrop-The FAO Crop Model to Simulate Yield Response to Water: II. </span><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Main Algorithms and Software Description. <strong>Agronomy Journal</strong>. V. 101, Issue 3. 2009.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">SCARPARE, F.V. <strong>Simula&ccedil;&atilde;o do crescimento da cana-de-a&ccedil;&uacute;car pelo modelo agro-hidrol&oacute;gico SWAP/WOFOST.</strong> Tese (Doutorado em F&iacute;sica do Ambiente Agr&iacute;cola). Escola Superior de Agricultura "Luiz de Queir&oacute;z"</span><span style="font-size: 12pt;">. 163p. 2011.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">SENTELHAS, P.C.&nbsp; <strong>Uso de modelos de simula&ccedil;&atilde;o de culturas como ferramentas para identifica&ccedil;&atilde;o dos agentes deflagradores de colapso na produ&ccedil;&atilde;o agr&iacute;cola</strong>. Apresenta&ccedil;&atilde;o da III Reuni&atilde;o T&eacute;cnica do CEMADEN. Fortaleza. 2012. Dispon&iacute;vel em &nbsp;http://www.cemaden.gov.br/apresentacoeslllrtdocemaden.php. Acesso em 01/04/2013.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">SILVA, S.A.; LIMA, J.S.S.; OLIVEIRA, R.B. Modelo agrometeorol&oacute;gico na estimativa da produtividade de duas variedades de caf&eacute; ar&aacute;bica Considerando a variabilidade Espacial<strong>. </strong></span><strong><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">Irriga</span></strong><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">, Botucatu, v. 16, n. 1, p. 1-10, 2011.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US;" lang="EN-US">SIVAKUMAR, MANNAVA V.K., RAYMOND P. MOTHA, DONALD A. WILHITE, AND JOHN J. QU (Eds.). Towards a Compendium on National Drought Policy. <strong>Proceedings</strong> of an Expert Meeting on the Preparation of a Compendium on National Drought Policy, July 14-15, 2011, Washington DC, USA: Geneva, Switzerland: World Meteorological Organization. </span><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">AGM-12; WAOB-2011. 135 pp. 2011.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">SUGUITANI, C<strong>. Entendendo o crescimento e produ&ccedil;&atilde;o da cana-de-a&ccedil;&uacute;car: avalia&ccedil;&atilde;o do modelo Mosicas</strong>. 2006. 60p. Tese (Doutorado em Fitotecnia). Escola Superior de Agricultura "Luiz de Queiroz", Universidade de S&atilde;o Paulo, Piracicaba, 2006.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">SOLER, C.M.T. <strong>Uso do Modelo CERES-MAIZE para previs&atilde;o de safra do milho" safrinha</strong>". Tese. Doutorado em Agronomia. Escola Superior de Agricultura &ldquo;Luiz de Queiroz&rdquo;, Universidade de S&atilde;o Paulo, Piracicaba, 2004.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 12pt; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;" lang="EN-US">SOLLER, C. M. T.;</span><span><span style="font-size: 12pt; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></span><span style="font-size: 12pt; border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0cm; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;" lang="EN-US">SENTELHAS, P. C.</span><span><span style="font-size: 12pt; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></span><span style="font-size: 12pt; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;" lang="EN-US">; HOOGENBOOM, G. . Application of the CSM-CERES-Maize model for planting date evaluation and yield forecasting for maize grown off-season in a subtropical environment. <strong>European Journal of Agronomy</strong>, Amsterdan, v. 27, n.4, p. 165-177, 2007.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">STETUTO, P. et al. AquaCrop&mdash;The FAO Crop Model to Simulate Yield Response to Water: I. Concepts and Underlying Principles. <strong>Agronomy Journal</strong>. v. 101, Issue 3. 2009.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">TODOROVIC, M., ALBRIZIO, R., ZIVOTIC, L., SAAB, M.T.A., STOCKLE, C., STEDUTO, P. Assessment of Aqua Crop, CropSyst, and WOFOST models in the simulation ofsunflower growth under different water regimes. </span><strong style="font-size: 12pt;">Journal of Agronomy</strong><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> 101 (3), 509&ndash;521. 2009.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">VAN DAM, J.C. <strong>Field-scale water flow and solute transport SWAP model concepts, parameter estimation and case studies</strong>. (Doctoral Thesis). 2000. 179p. Wageningen University, Wageningen, 2000.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">VAN ITTERSUM, M.K.; LEFFELAAR, P.A.; VAN KEULEN, H.; KROPFF, M.J; BASTIAANS, L.; GOUDRIAAN, J. On approaches and applications of the Wageningen crop models. <strong>European Journal of&nbsp; Agronomy</strong>, Amsterdam, v.18. p.201-234. 2003.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">VAN KEULEN, H.; WOLF.J; Modelling of agricultural production: weather, soil and crops. Wageningen: Pudoc, (<strong>Simulation Monographs</strong>). 1986.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">VANEVERT, F. K., CAMPBELL, G. S. Cropsyst:&nbsp; A collection of object-orientedsimulation-models of agricultural systems. <strong>Agronomy Journal</strong>, 86, 325&minus;331. 1994.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;; mso-ansi-language: EN-US;" lang="EN-US">WILLIAMS, J.R.&nbsp; JONES, C.A.&nbsp; . KINIRY, J.R. SPANEL, D.A. <strong>The EPIC crop growth model </strong>Trans. ASAE, 32 (2) (1989), pp. 497&ndash;511. 1989. </span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;; mso-ansi-language: EN-US;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="font-size: 12pt; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;" lang="EN-US">WIT, C.T. de. Transpiration and crop yields, Agr. Res. Rep. 64. 6, Pudoc, Wageningen, 1958. </span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;; mso-ansi-language: EN-US;" lang="EN-US">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;</span></p>

Downloads

Publicado

2015-03-22

Edição

Seção

Original Articles / Artigos de Pesquisa